Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -28.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -33.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -36.5 | 100% |
| Spread -37.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| Spread -39.5 | 100% |
| Spread -40.5 | 100% |
| Spread -41.5 | 100% |
| Spread -42.5 | 100% |
| Spread -43.5 | 100% |
| Spread -44.5 | 100% |
| Spread -45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL) | 0% |
| Spread -49.5 | 0% |
| Spread -50.5 | 0% |
| Spread -52.5 | 0% |
| Spread -55.5 | 0% |
| Spread -56.5 | 0% |
| Spread -58.5 | 0% |
| Spread -59.5 | 0% |
| Spread -62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Central Michigan O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL). In the upcoming college football game between Central Michigan and Miami (FL), scheduled for September 26 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game.…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $121K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Jetzt „Prognose: Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →