Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nevada O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Nevada O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Nevada O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Nevada O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Nevada O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State. In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolv…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $188K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
Jetzt „Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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