Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| O/U 25.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 89% |
| Spread -0.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| O/U 33.5 | 79% |
| O/U 31.5 | 77% |
| Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 39.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| O/U 41.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Georgia O/U 28.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| O/U 45.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -15.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Spread -16.5 | 42% |
| O/U 47.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 37% |
| Spread -18.5 | 36% |
| Spread -19.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| O/U 49.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -20.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 30% |
| Spread -21.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| Georgia O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Spread -22.5 | 27% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| Oklahoma O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -27.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 18% |
| Oklahoma vs. Georgia | 17% |
| Spread -0.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 14% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -30.5 | 12% |
| Spread -31.5 | 9% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| Spread -34.5 | 8% |
Markt-Kontext
Oklahoma vs. Georgia. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 17% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $134K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Oklahoma vs. Georgia über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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