Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 41.5 | 88% |
| O/U 49.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 53.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 67% |
| West Virginia O/U 27.5 | 63% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| O/U 43.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| West Virginia O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| West Virginia O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 34.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 75.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| O/U 77.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 10% |
Markt-Kontext
Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 48% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $150K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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