Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 90% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 85% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 217.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| O/U 220.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 71% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 71% |
| O/U 221.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| O/U 223.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 67% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 66% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 61% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 227.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 59% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 58% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 228.5 | 56% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 55% |
| O/U 229.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 54% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 230.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 52% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 231.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 45% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 44% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 40% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 236.5 | 39% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 239.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| O/U 245.5 | 22% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Spurs vs. Mavericks. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 84% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $403K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Spurs vs. Mavericks" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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