Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 100% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 10% |
| O/U 41.5 | 10% |
| O/U 51.5 | 10% |
| O/U 53.5 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 0% |
| Safety? | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 0% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 100% Chance für prognose: cardinals vs. chargers. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.3M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Jetzt „Prognose: Cardinals vs. Chargers" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →