Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 93% |
| O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 25.5 | 89% |
| O/U 26.5 | 87% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 85% |
| O/U 27.5 | 83% |
| O/U 28.5 | 83% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 82% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 31.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| O/U 33.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | 64% |
| O/U 34.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 61% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| O/U 38.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 40.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| O/U 42.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 39% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 39% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 37% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 34% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 33% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 45.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 26% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 48.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 52.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 11% |
| O/U 55.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| O/U 56.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| O/U 59.5 | 8% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| O/U 60.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: panthers vs. eagles 93%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Eagles, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Panthers" if Panthers win the game. This market w…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $231K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Panthers vs. Eagles über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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