Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| Colts O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 88% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Colts O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 85% |
| Titans O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| Titans O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| Colts O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Colts O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| Colts O/U 13.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| Colts O/U 20.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Titans O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Colts 1H O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Colts O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Titans O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| O/U 42.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Colts 1H O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 58% |
| Titans 1H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Titans 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Titans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colts 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 21+ | 50% |
| Titans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Titans Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Colts O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Colts 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Titans O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 46% |
| Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Colts 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Colts O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Titans 1H O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| O/U 48.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Titans O/U 20.5 | 39% |
| Colts 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Titans 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Colts 1H O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Exact Margin: Colts by 1-6 | 35% |
| Titans vs. Colts: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Colts 1H O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Moneyline | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 1-6 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Colts O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Titans 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Titans O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Titans 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Titans vs. Colts | 26% |
| Titans 1H O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 25% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 23% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| Titans O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 20% |
| Titans O/U 34.5 | 20% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Titans O/U 26.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Titans O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| Colts O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| O/U 66.5 | 8% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 96% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Titans vs. Colts. In the upcoming NFL football game between Titans and Colts, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Titans" if Titans win the game. This market will resolve to "Colts" if C…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $114K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Titans vs. Colts" auf PolyGram handeln
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