Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 96% |
| O/U 215.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 93% |
| O/U 219.5 | 92% |
| O/U 221.5 | 90% |
| O/U 223.5 | 88% |
| O/U 225.5 | 85% |
| Bulls O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| O/U 227.5 | 82% |
| O/U 229.5 | 79% |
| Bulls O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 230.5 | 77% |
| O/U 231.5 | 75% |
| Bulls O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| O/U 233.5 | 71% |
| Bulls O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| O/U 235.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 68% |
| O/U 236.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 66% |
| O/U 237.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 65% |
| O/U 238.5 | 63% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 63% |
| Bulls O/U 118.5 | 63% |
| O/U 239.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 57% |
| O/U 241.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| O/U 242.5 | 55% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| O/U 243.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 244.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 246.5 | 45% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 249.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Bulls O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| O/U 252.5 | 33% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Bulls O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.5 | 32% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Bulls O/U 130.5 | 28% |
| O/U 255.5 | 27% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Wizards O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Bulls O/U 132.5 | 22% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 132.5 | 19% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 17% |
| Bulls O/U 134.5 | 17% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 139.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Wizards O/U 134.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 141.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Wizards vs. Bulls. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 48% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $112K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Wizards vs. Bulls über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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