Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 83% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Overtime? | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 39% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 33% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 33% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 25% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
Markt-Kontext
Mavericks vs. Pacers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 30% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-23T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $260K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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